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Mexico will not retaliate with tariffs against the US, says Sheinbaum

Introduction

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum confirmed that Mexico will not retaliate with tariffs against the United States amid the escalating trade tensions initiated by President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs.

Context

Trump's intention to impose extensive tariffs on various nations is poised to intensify trade conflicts with major partners such as Mexico and Canada, potentially leading to increased consumer prices and disrupting long-standing trade agreements. During her daily press conference, Sheinbaum stated that Mexico plans to introduce a "comprehensive program" rather than engage in reciprocal tariff impositions.

Developments

Sheinbaum remarked, “Let’s see what announcement they make, but we have a plan to strengthen the economy under any circumstance.” Her cautious approach to the potential for retaliatory tariffs reflects a desire for calm and a commitment to safeguarding the Mexican economy. Unlike Canadian leaders who have engaged in more confrontational rhetoric, Sheinbaum has received praise for her diplomatic handling of relations with the Trump administration.

Economists widely agree that significant U.S. tariffs could negatively impact the Mexican economy, with forecasts indicating a possible recession if such tariffs remain in place for an extended duration. The intertwined economies of the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, shaped by thirty years of free-trade agreements, have established a manufacturing sector in Mexico that is heavily reliant on exports to the United States.

Conclusion

While Mexico's government projects economic growth for the year at between 1.5% and 2.3%, these figures are more optimistic compared to private sector estimates and central bank projections, which reflect mounting concerns about a potential recession in Mexico.