Donald Trump has already left a mark on the Middle East well before commencing his second term as president. He broke through the delays orchestrated by Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his ultra-nationalist coalition allies to implement the ceasefire deal proposed by Joe Biden in May.
Facing a coalition crisis, Netanyahu finds himself at odds with ultra-nationalist politicians who vehemently oppose any deal with Hamas. The National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir from the Jewish Power party threatens to withdraw support unless the government resumes hostilities, halts aid to Gaza, and eradicates Hamas.
As Israel undergoes transformations since Trump's departure in 2021, it is evident that his presidency may bring new dynamics to the region. His stance on the Middle East began to crystallize during his second year in office, notably marked by the relocation of the American embassy to Jerusalem, a move that catered to his evangelical voter base.
While lavish celebrations marked the embassy's inauguration, juxtaposed on the news feeds were images of Israeli forces clashing with Palestinians at the Gaza border. The violent events underscored the stark realities underlying Trump's foreign policy decisions.
Trump's departure from traditional diplomatic norms was further highlighted by actions such as withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal and recognizing Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights. Additionally, his administration orchestrated the Abraham Accords, fostering ties between Israel and several Arab nations to the dismay of Palestinians.
As the Biden administration assumes office, the focus shifts to whether Trump's transactional approach can pave the way for a broader Middle East peace agreement. The puzzle of aligning Saudi Arabia's interests with Palestinian rights looms large, with both domestic and international considerations influencing potential diplomatic breakthroughs.
In the complex landscape of Middle Eastern politics, Trump's return to the White House brings forth a myriad of challenges and decisions, shaping the future of the region's geopolitics.